Trading Systems Research & Development

System Comparisons

In the following examples performance has been sorted by MAR Ratios (lowest to highest). MAR Ratio is a popular performance statistic that divides the compounded annual return by the maximum drawdown. In these examples we used $100,000 as the starting equity.

21 Markets Tested "Full Size Portfolio":
Corn, Rough Rice, Kansas City Wheat, Live Cattle, Cotton, Sugar, Lumber, Coffee, Palladium, London Aluminum Alloy, London Copper, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Propane, the Dollar Index, Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc, T-Notes, Swiss Govt. Bond, Euro-Bund, and the Nikkei.

Systems Tested: Turtle Trading Type, Aberration, Synergy & Checkmate
Test Period:
01/01/1992 thru 09/15/2003
Data Used:
CSI Back Adjusted Contracts (day only when possible)
Slippage and Commissions:
$75

Results computed with Trading Recipes™ Software


TURTLE TYPE TRADING

The reason we call this Turtle "type" trading is because there are many variations of what is commonly referred to as Turtle Trading. In this example we are using the core elements that a Turtle Trader would, channel breakouts (20/10) with dynamic market based position sizing and compounded growth.

(Risking 1.5%* of equity per trade)
(risk computed as approximate distance to trade exit)

Compounded Annual ROI 32.5% Max Drawdown 34.14%
Trades Accepted 2350 Avg $Win to Avg $Loss 1.91
Percent Win Trades 39.0% MAR Ratio 0.95

LONGEST PERIOD BETWEEN NEW EQUITY HIGHS 1.45 YEARS

TURTLE TRADING TYPE COMPOUNDED GROWTH EQUITY CURVE
Equity Curve (logarithmic)
 
Logarithmic chart

 


ABERRATION

(Risking 1.5%* of equity per trade)
(risk computed as approximate distance to trade exit)

Compounded Annual Return 42.9% Max Drawdown 32.26%
Trades Accepted 548 Avg $Win to Avg $Loss 1.79
Percent Win Trades 46.9% MAR Ratio 1.33

LONGEST PERIOD BETWEEN NEW EQUITY HIGHS 0.85 YEARS

ABERRATION COMPOUNDED GROWTH EQUITY CURVE
Equity Curve (logarithmic)
 
Logarithmic chart

FOR MORE ABERRATION COMPARISONS CLICK HERE


SYNERGY

(Risking 1.5%* of equity per trade)
(risk computed as approximate distance to trade exit)

Compounded Annual Return 78.7% Max Drawdown 32.18%
Trades Accepted 656 Avg $Win to Avg $Loss 2.72
Percent Win Trades 36.3% MAR Ratio 2.45

LONGEST PERIOD BETWEEN NEW EQUITY HIGHS 0.62 YEARS

SYNERGY COMPOUNDED GROWTH EQUITY CURVE
Equity Curve (logarithmic)
 
Logarithmic chart


SYNERGY & CHECKMATE COMBINED
(Checkmate with 18 market portfolio)

(Risking 1%* of equity per trade per system or minimum of 1 contract if risk was less than $1,500)
(risk computed as approximate distance to trade exit)

Compounded Annual Return 82.2% Max Drawdown 23.79%
Trades Accepted 1236 Avg $Win to Avg $Loss 2.50
Percent Win Trades 39.2% MAR Ratio 3.46

LONGEST PERIOD BETWEEN NEW EQUITY HIGHS 0.56 YEARS

SYNERGY & CHECKMATE COMPOUNDED GROWTH EQUITY CURVE
Equity Curve (logarithmic)
 
Logarithmic chart